Universidad Católica vs Fuerza Amarilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
EME
1 - 1
UCE
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
UCE
3 - 1
IVT
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
UCE
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
DEL
3 - 1
UCE
33%
28%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
UCE
1 - 1
BSC
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fuerza Amarilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 2
IVT
43%
24%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
DEL
0 - 1
FAM
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 1
BSC
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 1
FAM
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
FAM
3 - 0
CUE
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +2 |