Universidad Católica vs Ferroviarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 0
UCE
27%
26%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UCE
1 - 0
UTC
68%
19%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 2
UCE
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 4
UCE
34%
27%
40%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
UCE
3 - 0
ROC
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FER
2 - 0
ROC
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FER
2 - 0
DEP
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UTC
2 - 0
FER
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |