Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 6-0
Universidad Católica vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
EME
1 - 0
UCE
53%
24%
22%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
UCE
2 - 0
OLM
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
INJ
2 - 0
UCE
31%
23%
46%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
UCE
1 - 0
MUS
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
COL
0 - 1
UCE
51%
24%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 1
SBO
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ALI
3 - 2
MEL
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
JUN
0 - 1
MEL
54%
24%
21%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 2
HUA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BIN
3 - 1
MEL
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |