Universidad Católica vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
OLM
2 - 0
UCE
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
UCE
2 - 1
MAN
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LOJ
1 - 0
UCE
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
UCE
3 - 1
LIG
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 1
UCE
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
EME
2 - 0
BSC
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
EME
0 - 2
OLM
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
OLM
1 - 1
EME
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 3
EME
31%
29%
41%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
EME
3 - 1
LOJ
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |