Universidad Católica vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
UCE
4 - 2
AME
61%
19%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
EME
1 - 0
UCE
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
EME
0 - 2
SFE
51%
22%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
EME
1 - 0
UCE
50%
22%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1973 |
COL
5 - 1
EME
74%
15%
11%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
UNI
1 - 1
EME
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 0
EME
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |