Universidad Católica vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 1
UCE
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
UCE
3 - 0
LOJ
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
UCE
3 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
EME
2 - 2
UCE
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
UCE
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 3
CUE
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
BSC
3 - 0
QUI
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 4
LIG
37%
30%
33%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 1
AUC
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 1
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |