Universidad Católica vs Deportivo Quevedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 2
UCE
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 2
LOJ
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 0
UCE
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 2
QUI
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
BSC
6 - 2
UCE
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Quevedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 0
CUE
33%
27%
41%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
LIG
3 - 1
DEP
69%
19%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 1
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
EME
2 - 1
DEP
66%
21%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 1
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |