Universidad Católica vs LDU Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 0
UCE
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 2
QUI
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
BSC
6 - 2
UCE
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 1
MAC
67%
20%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 1
NAC
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2013 |
LOJ
1 - 3
CUE
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
LIG
1 - 1
LOJ
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
LOJ
1 - 2
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
EME
1 - 0
LOJ
57%
24%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LOJ
0 - 2
DEP
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |