Universidad Católica vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 1
NAC
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
CUE
1 - 2
UCE
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 2
CUE
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
UCE
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 1
UCE
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 5
CUE
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LIG
1 - 0
MAC
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 3
LIG
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CUE
2 - 1
MAC
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 1
UCE
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |