Universidad Católica vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
LIG
2 - 1
UCE
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
UCE
3 - 1
AUC
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
IVT
2 - 2
UCE
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
CUE
1 - 2
UCE
33%
26%
42%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
UCE
2 - 0
LAN
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
AUC
2 - 0
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 4
IVT
34%
26%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 1
CUE
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 3
LIG
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MUS
1 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |