Universidad Católica vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
QUI
4 - 1
UCE
37%
27%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
UCE
1 - 0
RIV
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 3
UCE
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UCE
2 - 1
QUI
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 1
UCE
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
AUC
0 - 0
MUS
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 1
AUC
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 1
IVT
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MUS
3 - 1
AUC
36%
28%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 1
UCE
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |