Univ. San Marcos vs Bolognesi FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Marcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
IAS
0 - 1
SMA
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
ACO
1 - 3
SMA
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
SMA
3 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
SPO
5 - 0
SMA
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
SMA
0 - 1
UNI
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bolognesi FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
BOL
2 - 2
LOS
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
GAL
3 - 1
BOL
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
LOS
2 - 0
BOL
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
IAS
2 - 1
BOL
38%
27%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
BOL
2 - 3
ACO
52%
24%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |