Univ. Queensland vs Centenary Stormers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
NEW
48%
21%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 3
UNI
10%
16%
74%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 0
BRI
72%
15%
12%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
MGH
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
WES
84%
10%
6%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPR
7 - 4
STO
40%
22%
39%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STO
0 - 3
RED
48%
21%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NEW
4 - 2
STO
72%
15%
13%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
STO
1 - 4
BRK
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 1
STO
16%
19%
65%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -1 |