Univ. Concepción vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 2
UCO
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 0
UNI
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 1
UCO
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 3
UCH
30%
27%
44%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
UCO
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 0
VAS
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
CAB
2 - 1
VAS
10%
19%
71%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VAS
4 - 2
NOV
78%
16%
6%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
VAS
0 - 2
BAN
84%
13%
3%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VAS
2 - 1
PPE
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |