Univ. Concepción vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 1
HUA
47%
24%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
HUA
0 - 1
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 4
UCO
53%
24%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
COB
0 - 2
UCH
35%
24%
42%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
UCH
1 - 1
UNI
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
42%
23%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
UCH
2 - 1
CSL
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ACS
3 - 1
UCH
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |