Univ. Concepción vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
4 - 1
UCO
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
HUA
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
USF
2 - 2
UCO
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
IQU
2 - 0
UCO
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
QUI
4 - 1
UCH
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
UCH
5 - 0
COL
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
UCH
4 - 0
ANT
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
UCH
2 - 1
NAC
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ULC
0 - 1
UCH
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |