Univ. Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SWA
2 - 1
UCO
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 0
NUB
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CSL
4 - 3
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
OHI
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PAL
3 - 2
UCO
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 2
UCO
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
5 - 2
CSL
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
UCO
49%
23%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 0
COB
62%
21%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |