Univ. Concepción vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
UNI
3 - 1
UCO
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
COB
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
DLS
2 - 1
UCO
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
UCH
1 - 1
UCO
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 1
ACS
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
SCI
0 - 0
UCO
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 2
PAL
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 1
SCI
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CDM
3 - 5
UCO
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
OLI
2 - 2
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |