Univ. Concepción vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HUA
2 - 5
UCO
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 0
HUA
38%
25%
38%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
UCH
2 - 0
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 1
IQU
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
COB
1 - 1
UCO
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ULC
0 - 1
COB
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
DLS
0 - 0
ULC
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ULC
0 - 1
CSL
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
4 - 0
ULC
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
USF
1 - 1
ULC
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |