Univ. Concepción vs Santiago Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DLS
1 - 0
UCO
48%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
UCO
3 - 1
COB
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 3
OHI
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
COL
1 - 2
UCO
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
CSL
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santiago Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SWA
1 - 0
USF
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ANT
1 - 0
SWA
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SWA
0 - 0
COL
39%
26%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
DLS
3 - 1
SWA
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SWA
4 - 2
ACS
36%
25%
38%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |