Univ. Concepción vs Santiago Morning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
16º
11º
35
4º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 51 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 41 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 40 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 36 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 34 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 31 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 30 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
13% | 45.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 54.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CUR
2 - 3
UCO
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
4 - 1
DSC
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
0 - 1
DLS
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
DER
5 - 0
UCO
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
2 - 0
LIM
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
CSD
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
0 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
DEP
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
MAG
20%
25%
55%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |