Univ. Concepción vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CDP
1 - 3
UCO
39%
27%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
HUA
39%
25%
36%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
COL
1 - 0
UCO
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 3
EVE
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
ANT
3 - 3
UCO
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
PAL
0 - 2
CSD
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PAL
1 - 2
EVE
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
PAL
1 - 0
COL
31%
26%
42%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
OHI
0 - 2
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |