Univ. Concepción vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
UCO
23%
22%
55%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 2
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
UCH
1 - 1
UCO
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
UCO
3 - 1
CUR
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
UCO
32%
25%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
NUB
3 - 0
HUA
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CUR
3 - 0
NUB
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
NUB
1 - 0
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
COL
3 - 1
NUB
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
NUB
1 - 0
OHI
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |