Copa Chile Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Univ. Concepción vs Magallanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
55.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
UCO
1 - 1
DEP
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ANT
3 - 1
UCO
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
UCO
2 - 1
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SWA
1 - 1
UCO
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
UCO
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UCO
1 - 0
MAG
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MAG
2 - 0
PAL
30%
28%
43%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MAG
2 - 1
OHI
40%
26%
33%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
OHI
3 - 2
MAG
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
CSL
3 - 1
MAG
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |