Univ. Concepción vs Huachipato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
34%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
IQU
1 - 1
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CSD
2 - 2
UCO
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
UCO
0 - 3
PAL
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 1
UCO
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
COL
0 - 1
UCO
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Huachipato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
HUA
3 - 0
NUB
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
LOT
0 - 0
HUA
8%
16%
75%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
HUA
1 - 1
DEP
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
HUA
5 - 4
CON
77%
16%
6%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
HUA
12%
18%
70%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |