Copa Chile 1/16
Global 1-1
Univ. Concepción vs Deportes Valdivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 0
UCO
16%
21%
64%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 1
OHI
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
HUA
1 - 0
UCO
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
GOD
1 - 0
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Valdivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 0
UCO
16%
21%
64%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 1
CDM
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
DEP
4 - 1
VAL
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
MAG
3 - 2
VAL
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 5
PUE
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |