Univ. Concepción vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
HUA
1 - 1
UCO
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
UCO
0 - 2
SWA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
OHI
1 - 2
UCO
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 1
UNI
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CUR
1 - 0
IQU
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
UCH
5 - 1
CUR
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
CUR
1 - 0
DLS
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2020 |
CUR
0 - 0
CER
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
UCO
1 - 0
CUR
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |