Univ. Concepción vs Rangers Talca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
UCO
1 - 1
DER
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PUE
1 - 2
UCO
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
UCO
1 - 0
FVC
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
UCO
3 - 2
CSD
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
UCO
2 - 0
PUE
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Rangers Talca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
DEP
3 - 0
CSD
58%
23%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
CSD
2 - 1
DSC
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
CSD
1 - 0
CDC
79%
14%
8%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
UCO
3 - 2
CSD
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
COB
2 - 0
CSD
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |