Univ. Concepción vs Rangers Talca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
5 - 4
UCO
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
UCO
3 - 1
ACS
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 0
OHI
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
OVA
1 - 2
UCO
30%
24%
46%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rangers Talca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CSD
2 - 1
COL
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
CSD
1 - 2
CSL
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
EVE
3 - 2
CSD
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
CSD
0 - 4
UCH
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
OHI
1 - 0
CSD
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |