Univ. Concepción vs Rangers Talca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
NUB
3 - 1
UCO
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCO
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 0
UNI
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
COB
1 - 3
UCO
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 1
DLS
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rangers Talca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
CSD
2 - 2
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CON
2 - 4
CSD
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
CSD
0 - 1
CDM
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CSL
2 - 0
CSD
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
CSD
2 - 0
ACS
31%
25%
44%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |