Univ. Concepción vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
COB
3 - 1
UCO
40%
26%
35%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
IBE
0 - 1
UCO
11%
17%
72%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
OHI
4 - 1
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 2
UCO
5%
13%
82%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
DLS
1 - 1
COL
41%
25%
35%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
DLS
0 - 0
COB
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
COQ
1 - 0
DLS
7%
15%
78%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SWA
1 - 1
DLS
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
OHI
2 - 1
DLS
52%
23%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |