Univ. Concepción vs CD Provincial Osorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
HUA
1 - 1
UCO
57%
22%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 2
COL
35%
26%
40%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
UCO
3 - 1
ANT
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
OHI
3 - 3
UCO
55%
23%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2008 |
CDP
2 - 4
UCO
35%
28%
38%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2008 |
COL
4 - 1
CDP
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
CSD
1 - 0
CDP
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
CDP
4 - 1
NUB
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
CDP
3 - 1
HUA
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +2 |