U. Católica vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1999 |
UCO
1 - 1
SPC
69%
18%
14%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1999 |
COL
1 - 0
UCO
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1998 |
UCO
2 - 1
OLI
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1998 |
UCO
1 - 0
CCP
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
UCO
0 - 2
COL
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1999 |
UNI
2 - 0
COL
42%
27%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1999 |
UNI
2 - 1
SPC
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1998 |
MON
4 - 1
UNI
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1998 |
NEC
1 - 0
UNI
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1998 |
UNI
2 - 1
MON
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |