Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
U. Católica vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
UCO
2 - 2
NUB
56%
24%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
COL
0 - 0
UCO
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UCH
1 - 0
UCO
23%
23%
55%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
UCO
1 - 0
HUA
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DLS
0 - 4
UCO
16%
22%
62%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DLS
1 - 2
UCH
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
UCH
2 - 3
ACS
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UCH
1 - 0
UCO
23%
23%
55%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 2
UCH
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
UCH
0 - 0
COQ
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |