U. Católica vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 0
UCO
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
OHI
1 - 0
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2010 |
UCO
0 - 2
CSL
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
UCO
3 - 2
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
UCH
2 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
UCH
1 - 0
CFC
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
SWA
3 - 3
UCH
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
UCH
3 - 0
HUA
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCH
41%
27%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |