U. Católica vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CSD
2 - 1
UCO
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
UCO
4 - 1
PAL
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 2
ACS
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
UCH
1 - 2
CRZ
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
UCH
3 - 2
DLS
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
AUR
1 - 2
UCH
29%
24%
47%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCH
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
CUR
1 - 3
UCH
30%
29%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |