Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-2
U. Católica vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
20.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
ALI
2 - 0
UCO
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
COB
0 - 2
UCO
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 0
PUE
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
UCO
5 - 0
ALI
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
UCH
1 - 2
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
CON
3 - 1
UCH
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
UCH
0 - 0
COB
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
UCH
1 - 2
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
CSD
1 - 3
UCH
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
UCH
4 - 2
PUE
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |