U. Católica vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
3 - 1
UCO
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1966 |
OLI
0 - 4
UCO
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
UCO
0 - 0
OLI
57%
21%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
UCO
2 - 0
GUA
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
52%
20%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1966 |
OLI
2 - 0
UCH
60%
19%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1966 |
GUA
1 - 1
UCH
58%
19%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
UCH
2 - 0
GUA
50%
20%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
UCH
1 - 2
OLI
50%
20%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
52%
20%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |