U. Católica vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 1
UCO
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 2
UCO
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
4 - 0
UCH
49%
24%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
2 - 3
LIB
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
EVE
1 - 2
UCO
25%
25%
49%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
3 - 3
OLI
17%
23%
60%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 0
IQU
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
CSL
1 - 0
UCO
25%
26%
48%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
SPC
2 - 0
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |