U. Católica vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
UCH
2 - 3
UCO
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
UCO
3 - 0
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
4 - 3
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
UCO
5 - 1
CSD
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCO
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 1
NUB
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
UCO
23%
22%
55%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 2
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
UCH
1 - 1
UCO
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
UCO
3 - 1
CUR
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |