U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CSD
2 - 1
UCO
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
UCO
4 - 1
PAL
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 2
ACS
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CUR
3 - 2
UCO
24%
28%
49%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 1
EVE
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 3
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
OHI
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
DLS
0 - 3
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
CSD
1 - 3
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
UNI
5 - 2
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +2 |