Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
U. Católica vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
UCO
5 - 0
CSL
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
CUR
1 - 4
UCO
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 0
OHI
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ULC
2 - 1
UCO
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ANT
1 - 2
UCO
24%
25%
51%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
HUA
1 - 2
ULC
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
OHI
3 - 1
ULC
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
ULC
2 - 3
ANT
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ULC
2 - 1
UCO
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ULC
0 - 0
EVE
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |