Copa Libertadores Final
Global 3-5
U. Católica vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
21.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1993 |
SAO
5 - 1
UCO
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1993 |
AME
2 - 2
UCO
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1993 |
UCO
1 - 0
AME
44%
25%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1993 |
BSC
0 - 1
UCO
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1993 |
UCO
3 - 1
BSC
67%
19%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1993 |
SAO
5 - 1
UCO
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1993 |
CCP
0 - 0
SAO
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1993 |
CRZ
2 - 2
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1993 |
SAO
1 - 0
CCP
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1993 |
SAO
1 - 2
CRZ
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |