Copa Chile 1/16
Global 2-3
U. Católica vs Santiago Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SWA
1 - 0
UCO
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
GNC
0 - 2
UCO
3%
9%
88%
|
76 | 9 | 67 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
COQ
2 - 0
UCO
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
UCO
4 - 1
COB
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
UCH
1 - 2
UCO
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santiago Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SWA
1 - 0
UCO
29%
24%
47%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
CDS
3 - 5
SWA
9%
15%
76%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
SWA
6 - 0
SAN
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
UCO
1 - 1
SWA
30%
27%
44%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SWA
1 - 2
ANT
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |