U. Católica vs Santiago Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ULC
1 - 4
UCO
32%
27%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 2
IQU
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UCO
4 - 1
PAL
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 1
UCO
44%
24%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 0
ACS
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santiago Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
SWA
3 - 1
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
SWA
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2016 |
SWA
2 - 1
COL
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
ANT
2 - 2
SWA
38%
28%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SWA
1 - 2
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |