U. Católica vs Santiago Morning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 1
PAL
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
COL
3 - 2
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 4
COL
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
COL
2 - 2
UCO
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
UCO
5 - 3
SAN
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CSL
3 - 0
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 3
DLS
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
UCO
5 - 3
SAN
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 3
UCO
39%
24%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
ACS
2 - 1
SAN
51%
24%
26%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |