U. Católica vs San Luis de Quillota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 2
UCO
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
IQU
2 - 6
UCO
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2016 |
COL
2 - 0
UCO
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCO
63%
20%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
UCO
0 - 1
COL
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Luis de Quillota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
ACS
1 - 2
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
SWA
42%
26%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
IQU
3 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
UCO
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |