U. Católica vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1999 |
UCO
1 - 3
BVS
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
BVS
2 - 2
UCO
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1999 |
UNI
1 - 3
UCO
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1999 |
SPC
1 - 1
UCO
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
UCO
3 - 1
COL
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1998 |
CCP
3 - 0
PEÑ
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1998 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
CCP
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
ALI
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
ALI
1 - 0
PEÑ
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1998 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
BOL
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |