U. Católica vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
SAN
3 - 0
UCO
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
IND
3 - 0
UCO
53%
22%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
HUA
1 - 4
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2000 |
UCO
2 - 3
CRZ
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 3
OHI
72%
17%
10%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 1
SPO
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2000 |
GAM
2 - 0
PAL
14%
23%
63%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
FLA
0 - 0
PAL
49%
24%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2000 |
PAL
0 - 2
CRZ
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
PAL
0 - 3
SAO
60%
20%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |