U. Católica vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
UNI
48%
23%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 0
UCO
58%
21%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCO
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCH
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
UCO
5 - 0
CSL
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 0
DLS
41%
27%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
USF
1 - 0
PAL
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
COB
1 - 0
PAL
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 1
IQU
42%
28%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
OHI
5 - 0
PAL
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |